Signal NQ Bear #2 Prod. code US-CME_MINI-NQ-BEAR-002
G-Signal Historical Risk & Reward Statistics
Faction Bears Signaling frequency Signal showed up once per 92 days
Rank First Lieutenant Longest interval 427 days
Won % 79.1% Shortest interval 11 days
Survived % 19.4% Back-tested till June 1999
Failed % 5.97% History does not repeat itself, but it rhythms. No matter how low the possibility of an accident is, it will never be zero. Please well manage the risk in the worst case.
Maximum Unrealized Loss
Minimum Average Maximum
0.042% 3.719% 20.784%
Height of Upward
Slight rise Moderate rise High jump Soar High soar Extreme soar
< 1% 1% ~ 2% 2% ~ 3% 3% ~ 4% 4% ~ 5% 5% ~ 10% 10% ~ 15% 15% ~ 20% > 20%
22.39% 23.88% 17.91% 7.46% 4.48% 16.42% 4.48% 1.49% 1.49%
Minimum Average Maximum
Longest expansion of unrealized loss 1 days 11.6 days 57 days
Best unrealized P&L -1.79% 11.74% 83.249%
Longest fall 1 days 50.3 days 641 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio -0.279 folds 10.071 folds 152.875 folds
Price Action (PA) upon signal confirmed -> Plunge Diving High Jump Squat Jump Soar
Bear PAs
Probability of occurrence 22.39% 56.72% 14.93% 4.48% 1.49%
Absolute(B–A) ÷ A Largest spread 0.982% 16.497% 13.959% 2.492% 0.005%
Smallest spread 0.042% 1.097% 2.104% 1.009% 0.005%
A -> B Longest lasting 10 days 57 days 49 days 3 days 1 days
Shortest lasting 1 days 1 days 2 days 1 days 1 days
(A–C) ÷ A Largest spread 54.031% 83.249% 4.342% -20.784% -5.214%
Smallest spread 1.569% 0.965% 0.205% -1.79% -1.453%
B -> C Longest lasting 266 days 641 days 93 days 16 days 17 days
Shortest lasting 1 days 1 days 2 days 13 days 17 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio Highest 152.875 folds 52.497 folds 0.444 folds -0.046 folds -0.279 folds
Lowest 1.824 folds 0.522 folds 0.021 folds -0.193 folds -0.279 folds
NOTE:
Days are trading days, not calendar days.