Signal NQ Bear #5 Prod. code US-CME_MINI-NQ-BEAR-005
G-Signal Historical Risk & Reward Statistics
Faction Bears Signaling frequency Signal showed up once per 38.7 days
Rank First Lieutenant Longest interval 251 days
Won % 84.94% Shortest interval 3.13 days
Survived % 10.24% Back-tested till January 2000
Failed % 5.42% History does not repeat itself, but it rhythms. No matter how low the possibility of an accident is, it will never be zero. Please well manage the risk in the worst case.
Maximum Unrealized Loss
Minimum Average Maximum
0.003% 2.190% 21.786%
Height of Upward
Slight rise Moderate rise High jump Soar High soar Extreme soar
< 1% 1% ~ 2% 2% ~ 3% 3% ~ 4% 4% ~ 5% 5% ~ 10% 10% ~ 15% 15% ~ 20% > 20%
46.99% 21.08% 10.84% 7.23% 4.22% 6.02% 2.41% 0.6% 0.6%
Minimum Average Maximum
Longest expansion of unrealized loss 0.348 days 5.873 days 56.3 days
Best unrealized P&L -4.028% 6.91% 70.523%
Longest fall 0.348 days 22.3 days 455 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio -1 folds 33.86 folds 1,426 folds
Price Action (PA) upon signal confirmed -> Plunge Diving High Jump Squat Jump Soar
Bear PAs
Probability of occurrence 46.39% 38.55% 9.64% 0.6% 4.82%
Absolute(B–A) ÷ A Largest spread 0.98% 21.786% 13.664% 0.911% 0.472%
Smallest spread 0.003% 1.003% 1.125% 0.911% 0.017%
A -> B Longest lasting 17.4 days 40.3 days 47 days 0.348 days 0.696 days
Shortest lasting 0.348 days 0.348 days 1.391 days 0.348 days 0.348 days
(A–C) ÷ A Largest spread 50.474% 70.523% 1.993% -3.106% -11.285%
Smallest spread 0.222% 0.868% 0.065% -0.107% -4.028%
B -> C Longest lasting 126 days 455 days 44.9 days 2.435 days 56.3 days
Shortest lasting 0.348 days 0.696 days 0.696 days 2.435 days 1.043 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio Highest 1,426 folds 45.976 folds 0.486 folds -0.034 folds -0.017 folds
Lowest 0.561 folds 0.53 folds 0.008 folds -0.034 folds -1 folds
NOTE:
Days are trading days, not calendar days.