Signal NQ Bear #1 Prod. code US-CME_MINI-NQ-BEAR-001
G-Signal Historical Risk & Reward Statistics
Faction Bears Signaling frequency Signal showed up once per 308 days
Rank First Lieutenant Longest interval 1,760 days
Won % 75% Shortest interval 61 days
Survived % 15% Back-tested till June 1999
Failed % 10% History does not repeat itself, but it rhythms. No matter how low the possibility of an accident is, it will never be zero. Please well manage the risk in the worst case.
Maximum Unrealized Loss
Minimum Average Maximum
0.162% 5.717% 18.397%
Height of Upward
Slight rise Moderate rise High jump Soar High soar Extreme soar
< 1% 1% ~ 2% 2% ~ 3% 3% ~ 4% 4% ~ 5% 5% ~ 10% 10% ~ 15% 15% ~ 20% > 20%
10% 10% 15% 15% 5% 25% 15% 5%
Minimum Average Maximum
Longest expansion of unrealized loss 1 days 27.6 days 116 days
Best unrealized P&L -2.327% 16.46% 78.662%
Longest fall 1 days 77.8 days 529 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio -0.616 folds 5.126 folds 33.357 folds
Price Action (PA) upon signal confirmed -> Plunge Diving High Jump Squat Jump Soar
Bear PAs
Probability of occurrence 10% 65% 15% 10%
Absolute(B–A) ÷ A Largest spread 0.984% 18.397% 12.343% 0.271%
Smallest spread 0.162% 1.116% 9.285% 0.005%
A -> B Longest lasting 4 days 116 days 68 days 1 days
Shortest lasting 1 days 2 days 38 days 1 days
(A–C) ÷ A Largest spread 7.218% 78.662% 3.249% -5.556%
Smallest spread 5.412% 1.863% 1.665% -2.327%
B -> C Longest lasting 10 days 529 days 19 days 7 days
Shortest lasting 6 days 7 days 9 days 6 days
Best unrealized P/L ratio Highest 33.357 folds 10.599 folds 0.295 folds -0.074 folds
Lowest 7.334 folds 1.669 folds 0.135 folds -0.616 folds
NOTE:
Days are trading days, not calendar days.